John Naisbitt
- Used to live in Teluride so feels at home in Colorado
- Honorary docotorate from the University of Denver
- Anti-PowerPoint format [applause]
- “Power corrupts. PowerPoint corrupts absolutely”
- Wife Dorris was his German language publisher
- Better than most author/publisher relationships
- Reason for living in Vienna for the past seven years
- New book published last month
- Mind Set!
- Metaphor from The Little Prince
- Shillouette of a boa constrictor swallowing an elephant
- adults think it’s a hat
- redrawn to show the elephant
- What is really going on?
- See the future as a picture puzzle
- find one piece and see if there are other complementary pieces
- put the pieces together to see a new picture
- A visual culture is taking over the world
- slow death of the newpaper culture
- advertising: back to picture narrative
- Erricson had better technology
- Nokia had better design
- upscale design of common goods
- architecure as visual icon
- decline of the novel
- Don’t fall into the sequence trap
- sequence is not how the future or history works
- sequence is the enemy of connections
- Have a computer and a poet in every classroom
- at least metaphorically on the poet side
- Focus on the score of the game
- read the newspaper back to front
- sports in the back
- best and most reliable reporting in the sports section
- 100% accuracy
- as you move to the front, confidence in the accuracy goes down
- newspapers are the first draft of history
- constantly used as primary source materials
- read them as if they’re 100 years old
- not intersted in opinion
- interested in events & facts
- USA Today has the “box scores” of what’s going on in the country
- Media: distortion through magnification
- the world has rarely been more peaceful than today
- compared to since 1945
- wouldn’t know it by watching television
- # of armed conflicts has fallen 40% since the fall of communisim
- wars are fewer but we see much more of them
- Don’t get so far ahead of the parade that people don’t know you’re in it
- This past election day…
- leader so far out ahead that he was no longer with the group
- looking at the future: what’s just out in front, not so far out
- AT&T introduced the picturephone in 1939
- You don’t get results by solving problems but by seeking opportunities
- Opportunity seekers vs. problem solvers
- India’s IT sector as a result of Y2K
- Hillary Clinton is a great problem solver
- Healthcare
- Schwarzenegger is a great opportunity seeker
- Became governor on the recall of Gray Davis
- Problem solver: fix the post office
- Opportunity seeker: Start FedEx (Fred Smith)
- Europe needs an opportunity seeker
- Two hearts, 25 mind sets
- It’s not a borderless world
- Physical borders are geeting stronger
- Economics is becoming borderless
- People are concerend about preserving their cultural identity
- The periphery is the center
- China is dencentralizing
- China has 166 cities with 100 million or more
- Privinces are building international airports
- Might overtake the US economically “next Tuesday”
- Not going to happen that soon
- Big gap between US & China GDP
- Understanding how powerful it is not to have to be right!
- people who have to be right are run by needing to be right
- political parties have institutalize this
- shuts out learning and intellectual growth to have to always be right
- Einstein was far from sure about what he was doing
Q&A period
